Central Banks Face Policy Trap as Iran War Drives Inflation Shock Amid Fading Growth

The war in Iran has thrust the world’s major central banks into a familiar—and deeply uncomfortable—position. Just as inflation pressures were easing and policymakers were preparing to move toward rate cuts, a surge in energy prices driven by disruptions in the Middle East is complicating the global outlook. The result is a worsening policy dilemma: […]

Fed Meeting Live Updates: Federal Reserve Expected to Hold Rates Steady, Offer Updated Outlook Amid Iran War

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at the end of its two-day policy meeting this week. All eyes, however, are on how the central bank will adjust its outlook in the shadow of the ongoing conflict in Iran. A recent spike in oil prices, driven by the Middle East war, […]

How the Iran Conflict Could Impact the Fed’s Decision Making

As tensions escalate in the Middle East, a key question is emerging for economists and investors: how will the conflict in Iran influence the Federal Reserve’s plans for interest rates this year? According to one market expert, the primary channel for this impact is the price of oil. Heightened geopolitical instability often drives oil prices […]

Fed Officials Are Watching Iran War for Inflation Impact

Federal Reserve officials say the conflict in Iran could impact the near-term inflation outlook and add to economic uncertainty. This may push back the timeline for any further interest rate cuts until later this year. One senior official noted that the war is “something that would obviously affect the nearer-term inflation outlook.” He added, “We’ll […]

Weak Jobs Report Likely to Keep Fed on Hold in Wake of Oil Price Shock

A surprisingly weak jobs report for February has cast doubt on the idea that the labor market is stabilizing. However, it probably won’t be enough to convince the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this month, as a recent oil price shock stemming from conflict in Iran introduces a new risk of higher inflation. “This […]

Fed Governor Lisa Cook Says AI Could Leave Fed With Hard Choice: Fight Inflation or Boost Employment

A Federal Reserve governor suggested that the rise of artificial intelligence may soon push the central bank into a tough spot, forcing it to choose between fighting inflation and boosting employment. The official noted that if AI significantly increases productivity, the economy could grow strongly even as changes in the labor market lead to higher […]

Economy, Monetary Policy, Federal Reserve, interest rates
February 19, 2026
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Fed Reveals Surprise Shift as Several Officials Ponder Hike

Federal Reserve officials appeared surprisingly wary of cutting interest rates during their meeting last month. In fact, the discussion took a surprising turn, with several officials even suggesting the central bank might need to raise rates if inflation remains stubbornly high. The minutes from the late January policy meeting fell short of suggesting a majority […]

Economy, Federal Reserve, Monetary Policy, interest rates, inflation
February 19, 2026
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Fed Meeting Minutes: Rates Could Come Down Further If Inflation Drops

Federal Reserve officials are signaling that future interest rate decisions will hinge on the path of inflation, according to minutes from the central bank’s January policy meeting released on Wednesday. The discussion revealed a range of views, with some officials anticipating more rate cuts if price pressures ease, while others favored holding rates steady for […]

Monetary Policy, Japan
February 18, 2026
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Japan’s junior coalition head warns against political meddling in BOJ policy

The leader of Japan’s junior ruling coalition partner has stated that the government must refrain from interfering in monetary policy. Instead, he argued, officials should focus on building an economy resilient enough to withstand the potential impact of future interest rate increases. In an interview, the party leader also emphasized the need to implement a […]