prediction markets, Decentralized Finance, Polymarket, war betting, regulatory resistance, geopolitical bets
March 07, 2026
2 views 3 mins 0

Polymarket Founder Says War Bets Are Facing Growing Resistance

The founder of a major prediction market platform has acknowledged that the industry’s contracts related to war are facing increasing risks. Speaking at a recent conference, he conceded that rising visibility brings “more money, more problems,” a blunt admission that one of the sector’s flagship products threatens to become a political liability. He argued that […]

Iran, prediction markets, Forecasting, strikes, geopolitical analysis
March 07, 2026
4 views 5 mins 0

Iran Strikes Expose Dark Edge Case of Prediction-Market Era

Denitsa Tsekova Updated Mon, March 2, 2026 at 7:33 AM PST Prediction markets have spent the past year courting major financial institutions and government legitimacy with an ambitious pitch: markets that let people bet on real-world events can produce better, faster information than any alternative. Recent geopolitical events exposed just how morally and legally fraught […]

Financial Markets, Trump administration, prediction markets, Polymarket, regulatory challenges, state bans, Kalshi
February 18, 2026
4 views 3 mins 0

Trump Administration Backs Kalshi, Polymarket as States Move to Ban Prediction Markets

The federal government is stepping into a high-stakes legal battle, throwing its support behind prediction market operators Kalshi and Polymarket as several states move to ban their platforms. This move by the chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) could have enormous implications for how betting is regulated in the United States. The core […]